SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Romania | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Belgium | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Slovakia | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ukraine | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Belgium | 8 | 18 | 20 |
| 2 | Austria | 8 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | Sweden | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Azerbaijan | 8 | -10 | 7 |
| 5 | Estonia | 8 | -20 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 75.98%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 8.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.23%) and 3-0 (10.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.43%), while for an Azerbaijan win it was 0-1 (3.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Slovakia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Slovakia.
| Result | ||
| Slovakia | Draw | Azerbaijan |
75.98% ( -0.14) | 15.64% ( 0.04) | 8.38% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 44.01% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.05% ( 0.19) | 40.95% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.66% ( 0.19) | 63.34% ( -0.19) |
| Slovakia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.92% ( 0.01) | 9.07% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.15% ( 0.03) | 30.85% ( -0.03) |
| Azerbaijan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.41% ( 0.37) | 51.59% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.26% ( 0.24) | 85.73% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Slovakia | Draw | Azerbaijan |
| 2-0 @ 13.47% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 11.23% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 10.78% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.49% Total : 75.96% | 1-1 @ 7.43% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.58% Total : 15.64% | 0-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.8% Total : 8.38% |
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