SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Belgium | 8 | 18 | 20 |
| 2 | Austria | 8 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | Sweden | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Azerbaijan | 8 | -10 | 7 |
| 5 | Estonia | 8 | -20 | 1 |
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Belgium | 8 | 18 | 20 |
| 2 | Austria | 8 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | Sweden | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Azerbaijan | 8 | -10 | 7 |
| 5 | Estonia | 8 | -20 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 79.39%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 6.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.3%) and 3-0 (12.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.68%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Sweden in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sweden.
| Result | ||
| Sweden | Draw | Estonia |
79.39% ( -0.07) | 14.28% ( 0.02) | 6.33% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 38.25% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.46% ( 0.11) | 42.54% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.05% ( 0.11) | 64.94% ( -0.11) |
| Sweden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.35% ( 0.01) | 8.65% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.17% ( 0.02) | 29.82% ( -0.02) |
| Estonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 41.88% ( 0.23) | 58.12% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.34% ( 0.12) | 89.66% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sweden | Draw | Estonia |
| 2-0 @ 15.05% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 12.3% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 12.28% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 7.52% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.67% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 4.08% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1.5% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.21% Total : 79.37% | 1-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.36% Total : 14.28% | 0-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.79% Total : 6.33% |
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