Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 55.93%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 20.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.17%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 1-0 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ballymena United | Draw | Cliftonville |
20.57% ( -0.91) | 23.5% ( -0.24) | 55.93% ( 1.16) |
Both teams to score 51.03% ( -0.57) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.92% ( -0.1) | 49.08% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.84% ( -0.09) | 71.16% ( 0.1) |
Ballymena United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.76% ( -0.98) | 38.24% ( 0.99) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25% ( -0.96) | 75% ( 0.96) |
Cliftonville Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.63% ( 0.39) | 17.38% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.22% ( 0.67) | 47.79% ( -0.66) |
Score Analysis |
Ballymena United | Draw | Cliftonville |
1-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 5.37% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.53% Total : 20.57% | 1-1 @ 11.17% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.98% Total : 23.49% | 0-1 @ 11.62% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 10.17% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 9.78% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 5.94% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 5.71% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 2.6% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 2.5% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0) 0-5 @ 0.91% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.76% Total : 55.92% |
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