SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 65.09%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 13.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.96%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 1-0 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ballymena United | Draw | Linfield |
13.67% ( -0.76) | 21.24% ( -0.65) | 65.09% ( 1.41) |
| Both teams to score 44.21% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.05% ( 1.07) | 50.95% ( -1.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.17% ( 0.93) | 72.82% ( -0.93) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.97% ( -0.49) | 48.03% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.74% ( -0.36) | 83.25% ( 0.36) |
| Linfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.08% ( 0.82) | 14.92% ( -0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.69% ( 1.53) | 43.31% ( -1.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ballymena United | Draw | Linfield |
| 1-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.31) 2-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.82% Total : 13.67% | 1-1 @ 10% ( -0.28) 0-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.31)2-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.59% Total : 21.24% | 0-1 @ 13.63% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 12.96% ( 0.17)1-2 @ 9.51% ( -0)0-3 @ 8.22% ( 0.34)1-3 @ 6.03% ( 0.17)0-4 @ 3.91% ( 0.27)1-4 @ 2.87% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.03)0-5 @ 1.49% ( 0.14)1-5 @ 1.09% ( 0.09)2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.1% Total : 65.08% |
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