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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 43.69%. A win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Newry City AFC win was 1-0 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newry City AFC | Draw | Ballymena United |
31.17% ( 0.03) | 25.15% ( 0.01) | 43.69% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.79% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.42% ( -0.05) | 47.58% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.22% ( -0.05) | 69.78% ( 0.04) |
| Newry City AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.31% ( -0.01) | 28.68% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.49% ( -0.01) | 64.51% ( 0.01) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.23% ( -0.04) | 21.77% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.04% ( -0.06) | 54.96% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newry City AFC | Draw | Ballymena United |
| 1-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.42% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.09% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.03% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.63% Total : 31.17% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.06% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.26% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.61% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.88% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.76% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.41% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 2.42% Total : 43.69% |
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