SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 51.5%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 24.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 0-1 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Ballymena United |
51.5% ( 0.02) | 23.64% ( -0.01) | 24.86% |
| Both teams to score 56.05% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.93% ( 0.05) | 45.06% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.58% ( 0.05) | 67.41% ( -0.05) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.48% ( 0.03) | 17.52% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.96% ( 0.05) | 48.04% ( -0.04) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.96% ( 0.03) | 32.04% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.49% ( 0.03) | 68.51% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Ballymena United |
| 1-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.52% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.63% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.94% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.45% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.15% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0)Other @ 3.75% Total : 51.5% | 1-1 @ 11.12% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.63% | 0-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.33% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.64% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.4% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.63% Total : 24.86% |
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