SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 47.06%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 28.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Glenavon | Draw | Ballymena United |
47.06% ( 0.02) | 24.37% ( 0) | 28.57% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.87% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.52% ( -0.03) | 45.48% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.19% ( -0.03) | 67.82% ( 0.03) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.57% ( -0) | 19.44% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.73% ( -0.01) | 51.27% ( 0.01) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.59% ( -0.03) | 29.41% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.59% ( -0.03) | 65.41% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glenavon | Draw | Ballymena United |
| 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.13% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.19% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.72% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0)Other @ 3.09% Total : 47.06% | 1-1 @ 11.45% 2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.36% | 1-2 @ 7.01% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.28% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.86% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0)Other @ 3.34% Total : 28.57% |
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