Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.