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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 1
May 1, 2021 at 3pm UK
Ballymena Showgrounds

Ballymena
3 - 1
Glenavon

McElroy (60'), McCartan (70' pen.), Balmer (81')
Balmer (51'), Kelly (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Douglas (88')
Moorhouse (22'), Purkis (33'), Singleton (64'), Byrne (71')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Glenavon.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.

Result
Ballymena UnitedDrawGlenavon
40.76%24.27%34.97%
Both teams to score 60.17%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.57%42.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.17%64.83%
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.06%20.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.31%53.68%
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.11%23.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.91%58.09%
Score Analysis
    Ballymena United 40.76%
    Glenavon 34.97%
    Draw 24.26%
Ballymena UnitedDrawGlenavon
2-1 @ 8.75%
1-0 @ 7.82%
2-0 @ 6.11%
3-1 @ 4.56%
3-2 @ 3.27%
3-0 @ 3.19%
4-1 @ 1.78%
4-2 @ 1.28%
4-0 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 40.76%
1-1 @ 11.19%
2-2 @ 6.27%
0-0 @ 5%
3-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.26%
1-2 @ 8.02%
0-1 @ 7.16%
0-2 @ 5.13%
1-3 @ 3.83%
2-3 @ 2.99%
0-3 @ 2.45%
1-4 @ 1.37%
2-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 34.97%

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