Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 39.25%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.67%) and 0-2 (5.86%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.