Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 45.41%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 2-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.