Crusaders
6 - 1
Glenavon

Lowry (18'), Heatley (25', 68'), Clarke (47'), McGonigle (75', 79')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Fitzpatrick (8')
Doyle (59')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Glenavon.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 46.67%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
Crusaders	Draw	Glenavon
46.67%	23.67%	29.65%

Both teams to score 60.01%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.33%

41.67%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.93%

64.07%

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.91%

18.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.99%

49.01%

Glenavon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.26%

26.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.99%

62%

Score Analysis

Crusaders 46.67%

Glenavon 29.65%

Draw 23.67%

Crusaders	Draw	Glenavon
2-1 @ 9.33% 1-0 @ 8.27% 2-0 @ 7.07% 3-1 @ 5.32% 3-0 @ 4.03% 3-2 @ 3.51% 4-1 @ 2.27% 4-0 @ 1.72% 4-2 @ 1.5% Other @ 3.66% Total : 46.67%	1-1 @ 10.9% 2-2 @ 6.15% 0-0 @ 4.84% 3-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.67%	1-2 @ 7.2% 0-1 @ 6.38% 0-2 @ 4.21% 1-3 @ 3.16% 2-3 @ 2.71% 0-3 @ 1.85% 1-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.11% Total : 29.65%