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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 20
Dec 27, 2021 at 3pm UK
Taylors Avenue
L

Carrick
1 - 3
Larne

Cushley (32' pen.)
Ervin (50')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Cosgrove (38'), Hale (45+2'), McDaid (85')
(45'), (48'), (74')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Larne.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 62.72%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 16.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.58%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result
Carrick RangersDrawLarne
16.53%20.76%62.72%
Both teams to score 52.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.54%43.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.15%65.85%
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.5%39.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.81%76.19%
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.74%13.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.96%40.04%
Score Analysis
    Carrick Rangers 16.53%
    Larne 62.72%
    Draw 20.76%
Carrick RangersDrawLarne
1-0 @ 4.86%
2-1 @ 4.56%
2-0 @ 2.26%
3-2 @ 1.43%
3-1 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2%
Total : 16.53%
1-1 @ 9.83%
0-0 @ 5.24%
2-2 @ 4.61%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 20.76%
0-2 @ 10.69%
0-1 @ 10.58%
1-2 @ 9.93%
0-3 @ 7.2%
1-3 @ 6.69%
0-4 @ 3.64%
1-4 @ 3.38%
2-3 @ 3.11%
2-4 @ 1.57%
0-5 @ 1.47%
1-5 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 62.72%

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