Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 62.72%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 16.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.58%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.