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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 12
Mar 16, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Taylors Avenue
L

Carrick
1 - 3
Larne

Loughran (18' pen.)
Loughran (50'), Chapman (65')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Mitchell (11' pen.), Herron (34'), McKendry (90+2')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Larne.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 69.88%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 11.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.07%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result
Carrick RangersDrawLarne
11.48%18.64%69.88%
Both teams to score 45.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.86%45.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.51%67.49%
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.97%48.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.75%83.25%
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.27%11.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.14%36.86%
Score Analysis
    Carrick Rangers 11.48%
    Larne 69.88%
    Draw 18.64%
Carrick RangersDrawLarne
1-0 @ 4.13%
2-1 @ 3.25%
2-0 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 11.48%
1-1 @ 8.85%
0-0 @ 5.63%
2-2 @ 3.48%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 18.64%
0-2 @ 12.93%
0-1 @ 12.07%
1-2 @ 9.49%
0-3 @ 9.24%
1-3 @ 6.78%
0-4 @ 4.95%
1-4 @ 3.63%
2-3 @ 2.49%
0-5 @ 2.12%
1-5 @ 1.56%
2-4 @ 1.33%
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 69.88%

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