Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 69.88%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 11.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.07%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.