Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 69.38%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 11.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.01%) and 3-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coleraine would win this match.
