Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 54.58%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 21.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coleraine would win this match.