Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 54.73%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 22.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.8%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 2-1 (5.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.