SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 39.72%. A win for Coleraine had a probability of 34.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Coleraine win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crusaders | Draw | Coleraine |
| 39.72% | 26.14% | 34.15% |
| Both teams to score 53.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.01% | 50.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.14% | 72.86% |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.76% | 25.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.01% | 59.98% |
| Coleraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.56% | 28.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.8% | 64.2% |
| Score Analysis |
| Crusaders | Draw | Coleraine |
| 1-0 @ 9.88% 2-1 @ 8.56% 2-0 @ 6.8% 3-1 @ 3.93% 3-0 @ 3.12% 3-2 @ 2.47% 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.53% Total : 39.72% | 1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 7.18% 2-2 @ 5.38% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.13% | 0-1 @ 9.03% 1-2 @ 7.81% 0-2 @ 5.67% 1-3 @ 3.27% 0-3 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 2.25% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.7% Total : 34.15% |
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