Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coleraine would win this match.
