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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 18
Jan 30, 2021 at 3pm UK
The Showgrounds

Coleraine
2 - 1
Crusaders

Allen (31'), Lowry (88')
Kane (20')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McGonigle (17')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Coleraine and Crusaders.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coleraine would win this match.

Result
ColeraineDrawCrusaders
42.63%25.32%32.05%
Both teams to score 55.59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.99%48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.82%70.17%
Coleraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.55%22.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.01%55.98%
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.68%28.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.96%64.04%
Score Analysis
    Coleraine 42.63%
    Crusaders 32.05%
    Draw 25.32%
ColeraineDrawCrusaders
1-0 @ 9.49%
2-1 @ 8.95%
2-0 @ 7.09%
3-1 @ 4.46%
3-0 @ 3.53%
3-2 @ 2.81%
4-1 @ 1.67%
4-0 @ 1.32%
4-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 42.63%
1-1 @ 11.98%
0-0 @ 6.36%
2-2 @ 5.65%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.32%
0-1 @ 8.02%
1-2 @ 7.56%
0-2 @ 5.06%
1-3 @ 3.18%
2-3 @ 2.38%
0-3 @ 2.13%
1-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 32.05%

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