SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 71.89%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 11.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 1-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.91%), while for a Portadown win it was 1-2 (3.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crusaders | Draw | Portadown |
| 71.89% | 16.83% | 11.29% |
| Both teams to score 51.65% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.78% | 37.22% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.57% | 59.43% |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.91% | 9.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 69.1% | 30.9% |
| Portadown Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.81% | 43.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.55% | 79.45% |
| Score Analysis |
| Crusaders | Draw | Portadown |
| 2-0 @ 11.29% 2-1 @ 9.48% 1-0 @ 9.42% 3-0 @ 9.02% 3-1 @ 7.58% 4-0 @ 5.41% 4-1 @ 4.54% 3-2 @ 3.18% 5-0 @ 2.59% 5-1 @ 2.18% 4-2 @ 1.91% 6-0 @ 1.04% 5-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.34% Total : 71.89% | 1-1 @ 7.91% 2-2 @ 3.98% 0-0 @ 3.93% Other @ 1.01% Total : 16.83% | 1-2 @ 3.32% 0-1 @ 3.3% 0-2 @ 1.38% 2-3 @ 1.11% 1-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.24% Total : 11.29% |
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