Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 50.47%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Crusaders had a probability of 24.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Crusaders win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Glentoran in this match.