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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 8
Nov 28, 2020 at 3pm UK
Mourneview Park

Glenavon
3 - 1
Crusaders

O'Mahony (50'), Campbell (74'), Fitzpatrick (80')
Singleton (68'), Campbell (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lowry (3')
Ruddy (16'), Forsythe (83')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glenavon and Crusaders.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 2-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
GlenavonDrawCrusaders
31.6%24.41%43.99%
Both teams to score 58.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.87%44.13%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.49%66.51%
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.3%26.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.04%61.96%
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.81%20.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.5%52.5%
Score Analysis
    Glenavon 31.6%
    Crusaders 43.99%
    Draw 24.41%
GlenavonDrawCrusaders
2-1 @ 7.52%
1-0 @ 7.12%
2-0 @ 4.7%
3-1 @ 3.31%
3-2 @ 2.65%
3-0 @ 2.07%
4-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 31.6%
1-1 @ 11.39%
2-2 @ 6.02%
0-0 @ 5.39%
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.41%
1-2 @ 9.11%
0-1 @ 8.63%
0-2 @ 6.9%
1-3 @ 4.86%
0-3 @ 3.68%
2-3 @ 3.21%
1-4 @ 1.94%
0-4 @ 1.47%
2-4 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 43.99%


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