Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 2-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.