Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 46.56%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 2-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.