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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 16
Jan 23, 2021 at 12.30pm UK
 
L

Crusaders
3 - 3
Larne

McGonigle (39'), Hegarty (73'), Kennedy (89' pen.)
Caddell (12')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Hale (19', 33'), McMurray (79')
Randall (12'), Donnelly (63')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Larne.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 51.88%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Larne had a probability of 22.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Larne win it was 0-1 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
CrusadersDrawLarne
51.88%25.53%22.59%
Both teams to score 47.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.17%54.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.87%76.13%
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.84%21.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.97%54.03%
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.53%39.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.84%76.16%
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 51.88%
    Larne 22.59%
    Draw 25.52%
CrusadersDrawLarne
1-0 @ 12.97%
2-0 @ 10.07%
2-1 @ 9.36%
3-0 @ 5.21%
3-1 @ 4.85%
3-2 @ 2.25%
4-0 @ 2.02%
4-1 @ 1.88%
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 51.88%
1-1 @ 12.05%
0-0 @ 8.35%
2-2 @ 4.35%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 25.52%
0-1 @ 7.77%
1-2 @ 5.61%
0-2 @ 3.61%
1-3 @ 1.74%
2-3 @ 1.35%
0-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 22.59%

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