Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 51.88%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Larne had a probability of 22.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Larne win it was 0-1 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
