Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.