Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 48.1%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 1-0 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.