Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 42.51%. A win for Cliftonville had a probability of 33.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.49%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Cliftonville win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.