Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 74.86%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 9.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.75%) and 1-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.31%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 0-1 (2.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.