Dungannon
0 - 2
Crusaders

Cowan (35'), Knowles (37'), McGee (41'), Mayse (84'), Smyth (88')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Lecky (18'), Caddell (43')
Heatley (23')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Dungannon Swifts and Crusaders.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 52.05%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 24.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-2 (8.74%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 1-0 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
Dungannon Swifts	Draw	Crusaders
24.28%	23.67%	52.05%

Both teams to score 55.31%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.25%

45.74%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.94%

68.06%

Dungannon Swifts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.1%

32.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.53%

69.47%

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.43%

17.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.87%

48.13%

Score Analysis

Dungannon Swifts 24.28%

Crusaders 52.05%

Draw 23.66%

Dungannon Swifts	Draw	Crusaders
1-0 @ 6.43% 2-1 @ 6.21% 2-0 @ 3.57% 3-1 @ 2.3% 3-2 @ 2% 3-0 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.44% Total : 24.28%	1-1 @ 11.17% 0-0 @ 5.78% 2-2 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.66%	0-1 @ 10.05% 1-2 @ 9.72% 0-2 @ 8.74% 1-3 @ 5.63% 0-3 @ 5.07% 2-3 @ 3.13% 1-4 @ 2.45% 0-4 @ 2.2% 2-4 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.7% Total : 52.05%