Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 46.96%. A win for Portadown had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Portadown win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dungannon Swifts would win this match.