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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 25
Mar 20, 2021 at 3pm UK
The Oval

Glentoran
3 - 1
Glenavon

Donnelly (27', 83'), Gorman (39')
Bigirimana (23'), Donnelly (62')
FT(HT: 2-1)
McCullough (25' og.)
Singleton (18'), Snoddy (23'), Doyle (61'), McCloskey (76')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glentoran and Glenavon.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 61.72%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 17.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a Glenavon win it was 0-1 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.

Result
GlentoranDrawGlenavon
61.72%20.92%17.36%
Both teams to score 53.73%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.32%42.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.91%65.09%
Glentoran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.7%13.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.86%40.14%
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.97%38.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.21%74.8%
Score Analysis
    Glentoran 61.71%
    Glenavon 17.36%
    Draw 20.92%
GlentoranDrawGlenavon
2-0 @ 10.29%
1-0 @ 10.2%
2-1 @ 9.95%
3-0 @ 6.92%
3-1 @ 6.69%
4-0 @ 3.49%
4-1 @ 3.37%
3-2 @ 3.24%
4-2 @ 1.63%
5-0 @ 1.41%
5-1 @ 1.36%
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 61.71%
1-1 @ 9.87%
0-0 @ 5.06%
2-2 @ 4.81%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.92%
0-1 @ 4.89%
1-2 @ 4.77%
0-2 @ 2.37%
2-3 @ 1.55%
1-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 17.36%

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