Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 61.61%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 17.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 1-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Glenavon win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.