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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 14
Jan 2, 2021 at 3pm UK
Mourneview Park

Glenavon
1 - 2
Linfield

Purkis (23')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Quinn (48'), Stewart (79')
Stewart (79')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glenavon and Linfield.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 49.12%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.11%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 2-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Linfield in this match.

Result
GlenavonDrawLinfield
27.78%23.09%49.12%
Both teams to score 60.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.85%40.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.48%62.51%
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.77%27.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.35%62.64%
Linfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.43%16.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.64%46.35%
Score Analysis
    Glenavon 27.78%
    Linfield 49.12%
    Draw 23.08%
GlenavonDrawLinfield
2-1 @ 6.86%
1-0 @ 5.87%
2-0 @ 3.82%
3-1 @ 2.98%
3-2 @ 2.68%
3-0 @ 1.66%
4-1 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 27.78%
1-1 @ 10.54%
2-2 @ 6.17%
0-0 @ 4.51%
3-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.08%
1-2 @ 9.48%
0-1 @ 8.11%
0-2 @ 7.29%
1-3 @ 5.68%
0-3 @ 4.37%
2-3 @ 3.7%
1-4 @ 2.55%
0-4 @ 1.96%
2-4 @ 1.66%
1-5 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 49.12%

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