Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 68.28%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 12.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a Glenavon win it was 0-1 (4.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Glentoran in this match.