Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 82.79%. A draw had a probability of 11.5% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 5.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.63%) and 4-0 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.45%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 0-1 (1.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.