Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Larne had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Larne win was 1-0 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
