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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 9
Dec 5, 2020 at 3pm UK
Inver Park

Larne
2 - 1
Glenavon

Hale (72'), McMurray (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
O'Connor (45+2')
Ward (90+4')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Larne and Glenavon.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 57.95%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 19.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Glenavon win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result
LarneDrawGlenavon
57.95%22.19%19.86%
Both teams to score 54.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.58%44.42%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.2%66.8%
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.95%15.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.45%43.55%
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.71%36.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.92%73.08%
Score Analysis
    Larne 57.94%
    Glenavon 19.86%
    Draw 22.19%
LarneDrawGlenavon
1-0 @ 10.34%
2-1 @ 9.93%
2-0 @ 9.8%
3-1 @ 6.27%
3-0 @ 6.18%
3-2 @ 3.18%
4-1 @ 2.97%
4-0 @ 2.93%
4-2 @ 1.5%
5-1 @ 1.12%
5-0 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 57.94%
1-1 @ 10.48%
0-0 @ 5.46%
2-2 @ 5.03%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.19%
0-1 @ 5.54%
1-2 @ 5.31%
0-2 @ 2.81%
1-3 @ 1.8%
2-3 @ 1.7%
0-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 19.86%

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