Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 57.95%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 19.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Glenavon win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.
