Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 80.01%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 6.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.46%) and 1-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.31%), while for a Portadown win it was 0-1 (2.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.