SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 50.11%. A win for Portadown had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Portadown win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portadown | Draw | Glenavon |
| 26.48% | 23.41% | 50.11% |
| Both teams to score 58.44% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.36% | 42.64% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.96% | 65.04% |
| Portadown Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.53% | 29.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.52% | 65.48% |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.86% | 17.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.64% | 47.36% |
| Score Analysis |
| Portadown | Draw | Glenavon |
| 2-1 @ 6.65% 1-0 @ 6.17% 2-0 @ 3.77% 3-1 @ 2.71% 3-2 @ 2.39% 3-0 @ 1.54% Other @ 3.26% Total : 26.48% | 1-1 @ 10.88% 2-2 @ 5.86% 0-0 @ 5.05% 3-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.4% | 1-2 @ 9.6% 0-1 @ 8.91% 0-2 @ 7.86% 1-3 @ 5.65% 0-3 @ 4.62% 2-3 @ 3.45% 1-4 @ 2.49% 0-4 @ 2.04% 2-4 @ 1.52% Other @ 3.98% Total : 50.11% |
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