Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 88.56%. A draw had a probability of 8.3% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 3.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.5%) and 4-0 (10.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.94%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 0-1 (1.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.
