Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 80.44%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 6.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.55%) and 1-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.19%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (2.31%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.