Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portadown win with a probability of 46.52%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portadown win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.