Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 51.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Larne had a probability of 23.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Larne win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.