Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 70.05%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 12.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.64%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.3%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 1-0 (3.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.