Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 63.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 15.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.59%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Glenavon win it was 0-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.
