NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Showgrounds
King (2'), Lockhart (15')
Lockhart (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Loughran (10', 26'), Ferris (23' pen.)
Ferris (17'), Hoey (62'), Loughran (60'), Murdock (66')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Newry City AFC and Loughgall.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Loughgall win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Loughgall win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Newry City AFC win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Loughgall would win this match.
| Result |
| Newry City AFC | Draw | Loughgall |
31.01% ( -0.01) | 26.15% ( 0.31) | 42.85% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 52.46% ( -0.99) |
| 48.13% ( -1.28) | 51.87% ( 1.28) |
| 26.37% ( -1.12) | 73.63% ( 1.12) |
| 69.05% ( -0.66) | 30.95% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.75% ( -0.78) | 67.25% ( 0.78) |
| 75.97% ( -0.71) | 24.03% ( 0.71) |
