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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Newry City AFC win was 1-0 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newry City AFC | Draw | Ballymena United |
33.36% ( 0.11) | 26.31% ( 0.02) | 40.33% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 52.75% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.13% ( -0.08) | 51.87% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.37% ( -0.07) | 73.62% ( 0.07) |
| Newry City AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.62% ( 0.03) | 29.37% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.64% ( 0.04) | 65.36% ( -0.04) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.68% ( -0.11) | 25.31% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.91% ( -0.15) | 60.08% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newry City AFC | Draw | Ballymena United |
| 1-0 @ 9.11% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.13% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.49% Total : 33.36% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 10.21% 1-2 @ 8.6% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.02% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.48% Total : 40.32% |
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