SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 47.12%. A win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 27.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Newry City AFC win was 0-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Newry City AFC |
47.12% ( 0.63) | 24.92% ( -0.23) | 27.96% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 54.59% ( 0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.73% ( 0.74) | 48.27% ( -0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.58% ( 0.67) | 70.42% ( -0.67) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.47% ( 0.58) | 20.53% ( -0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.96% ( 0.91) | 53.03% ( -0.91) |
| Newry City AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.69% ( 0.08) | 31.3% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.34% ( 0.09) | 67.66% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Newry City AFC |
| 1-0 @ 10.17% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.7% Total : 47.11% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.92% | 0-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 6.86% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.86% Total : 27.96% |
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