Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 61.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 17.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.22%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 1-0 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.
Result | ||
Newry City AFC | Draw | Cliftonville |
17.23% ( -0.19) | 20.87% ( -0.14) | 61.9% ( 0.33) |
Both teams to score 53.63% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.32% ( 0.32) | 42.68% ( -0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.92% ( 0.31) | 65.08% ( -0.31) |
Newry City AFC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.82% ( -0.03) | 38.18% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.06% ( -0.03) | 74.94% ( 0.03) |
Cliftonville Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.75% ( 0.2) | 13.25% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.97% ( 0.4) | 40.03% ( -0.39) |
Score Analysis |
Newry City AFC | Draw | Cliftonville |
1-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.22% Total : 17.23% | 1-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.87% | 0-2 @ 10.33% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 10.22% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 9.95% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.96% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 6.7% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 3.52% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 3.39% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.63% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 1.42% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 1.37% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.18% Total : 61.89% |
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