SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portadown win with a probability of 49.54%. A win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 25.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portadown win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Newry City AFC win was 0-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portadown | Draw | Newry City AFC |
49.54% ( 0.36) | 24.6% ( 0.05) | 25.85% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 53.9% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.63% ( -0.55) | 48.37% ( 0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.49% ( -0.51) | 70.51% ( 0.5) |
| Portadown Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.45% ( -0.07) | 19.55% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.53% ( -0.11) | 51.46% ( 0.11) |
| Newry City AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67% ( -0.63) | 33% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.41% ( -0.71) | 69.58% ( 0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portadown | Draw | Newry City AFC |
| 1-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 5.18% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.97% Total : 49.55% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.59% | 0-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.45% Total : 25.85% |
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